The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Merthyr Town 39.7%
Draw 26.4%
King`s Lynn Town 33.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.3%
25.6%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
26.6%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
King`s Lynn Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for King`s Lynn Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Merthyr Town - King`s Lynn Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Margetson B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', (Penalty Awarded),
70', 1 - 1, Thomas K. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Merthyr (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by King`s Lynn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Merthyr has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:9 (averaging 1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Merthyr against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
20
Merthyr Town
14
3
6
5
15:19
-4
15
Last Results with these Odds
Merthyr Town - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.32%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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